Rumours rated: Griezmann to Man United, Mkhitaryan to Juventus, more

There's a lot of talk and speculation, but when it comes to transfers, how do you separate fact from fiction? David Amoyal looks at some of the current rumours and predicts how likely it is that the proposed moves actually happen.

Antoine Griezmann to Man United next summer: 40 percent

The Atletico Madrid striker signed a contract extension last summer, which featured a 100 million euro exit clause. The odds of him joining a club willing to pay that fee would increase dramatically should Diego Simeone also leave Atletico and, considering the manager recently had his contract shortened, that's not out of the question. While Man United would be the favorite to sign Griezmann, Paris Saint-Germain and Chelsea are also likely to be in the mix.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan to Juventus: 15 precent

The Armenian midfielder's lack of playing time has led to speculation he could move in January but his massive wages, as well as the money spent on him just last summer, make this unlikely. Mkhitaryan is also determined to prove himself at Old Trafford and won't push for move. Juventus has a strong relationship with his agent Mino Raiola and they have a stacked squad that will likely add Axel Witsel at some point in 2017.

Marco Verratti to leave Paris Saint-Germain: 25 percent

The Italian midfielder signed a new contract earlier this year and was expected to become the signature player in Paris after Zlatan Ibrahimovic departed, but there have been reports that he has struggled to bond with new coach Unai Emery and he has received criticism from the French press. Verratti himself downplayed the possibility of an exit and, unless his situation deteriorates, a move is unlikely in 2017, especially in January.

Antonio Rudiger to the Premier League: 35 percent

Had he not suffered a serious knee injury in May, the German defender would almost certainly already be playing in England. Antonio Conte had identified him as a target -- Roma would have accepted a big bid -- and Rudiger still makes sense for Chelsea, as he does for Man United. Roma has struggled to find a partner for Kostas Manolas but, should Federico Fazio maintain his form, Rudiger could move in January, as long as he is fully healed from his surgery.

Alessio Romagnoli to Chelsea: 10 percent

In the last few days of the summer transfer window, the Blues made an offer of over 30 million euro for the promising center-back. Milan quickly turned down the proposal as Romagnoli is one of their few building blocks and, while the 21-year-old is still on Conte's radar, the Italian club is even less likely to move him in January, especially with the sale to the new investors about to finally be concluded.

Stephan Lichtsteiner to Barcelona in 2017: 30 percent

Juventus are unlikely to extend the Swiss right-back's contract next June and Lichtsteiner has been linked to Barcelona, who is looking to replace Aleix Vidal. The Catalan club's director of international football Ariedo Braida also has a close relationship with Juve. One factor to consider is that the Italian club didn't cash in on Martin Caceres' expiring contract last January; they may decide Lichtsteiner is worth keeping to add depth, even if he leaves for free in the summer.

Jon Obi Mikel to Marseille: 30 percent

The Nigerian midfielder has been at Chelsea since 2007 but has yet to play for Conte and could be the next member of the old guard to leave Stamford Bridge. Mikel has been linked to Marseille, who is now in a transition phase under new ownership and with a new coach in Rudi Garcia. With Lassana Diarra potentially leaving the Ligue 1 club, Mikel could represent a more than adequate replacement at the defensive midfield position.

Hernanes to Mexican club Tigres: 25 percent

After signing Andre-Pierre Gignac in 2015, could Tigres lure another significant player from a European club? Juventus has been shopping Hernanes since last summer and, now that Claudio Marchisio is back from injury and in addition to Witsel's expected arrival, they have even more urgency to move the Brazilian midfielder. Hernanes could be heading to Mexico but also has the opportunity to join a mid-table Serie A team or cash in with a move to China.

Gabigol to Leicester: 5 percent

The Premier League champions were close to signing the Brazilian striker in the summer, but eventually lost out to Inter. Though Gabigol has struggled for playing time in Italy, he played in the Olympics and missed much of preseason, so he was always likely to take some time to settle. Moreover, Inter invested heavily in the 20-year-old and will want to see what Frank de Boer's replacement makes of him, as well as what happens with Mauro Icardi, before they consider a move.

Jackson Martinez to Napoli: 5 percent

The long-term injury to Arkadiusz Milik has led to Napoli being linked to numerous strikers. Martinez, who is currently playing in China, was offered but astronomical wages of around 11 million euro per season don't fit Napoli's parameters. In addition, Martinez also owns his marketing rights -- Napoli keeps them for their players -- and, finally, the Italian club typically is willing to invest heavily in players with future resale value.